super tuesday deja-vu

Posted by crayz

In practical terms, tonight's results look a lot like those from Super Tuesday. Both days have been PR wins for Hillary with little to any practical benefit in the race

The math is pretty simple. To be on track to close the pledged delegate gap, Hillary would have needed to pick up 50-60 delegates tonight. Instead it looks like she'll get under 10, possibly as few as one or two. A week from now Hillary is likely to be further behind in delegates than she was going into the March 4 contests. Barring a complete Obama meltdown, she's lost the pledged delegate race, and lost it decisively

It's now incumbent on Hillary to explain to the democratic party and the country exactly how she plans to win the nomination. The options she has left are:

  • win the remaining contests by 20-30 point margins (i.e. win 380 of the remaining ~600 delegates)
  • win a knife fight at the convention

Which is more plausible is left as an exercise for the reader

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